Vanlose 1-1 Holstebro BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.2pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanlose EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.38/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.89
-22% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanlose
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Holstebro BK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.09.2023 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 3-1 HT 1-0 Vanlose Vanlose DAN3
10.04.2023 Vanlose Vanlose 0-1 HT 0-1 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
27.08.2022 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 0-1 HT 0-1 Vanlose Vanlose DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanlose
1-1
AWAY Holstebro BK
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vanlose vs Holstebro BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanlose and Holstebro BK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Vanlose at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Vanlose had 53% of the ball to Holstebro BK's 47%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Holstebro BK led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vanlose and 1.33 for Holstebro BK.

What was the final score of Vanlose vs Holstebro BK?

Vanlose 1-1 Holstebro BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanlose vs Holstebro BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanlose win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vanlose 49%, draw 21%, Holstebro BK 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vanlose), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vanlose) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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