23/03/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Lyseng vs Avarta Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
29%
Draw
27%
32%
Away Win
32%
53%
Under 2.5
47%
47%
Over 2.5
53%
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
49%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lyseng v Avarta — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lyseng
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Avarta
EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% /
+2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-13% /
-13%
1.78/1.49
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.68/1.97
+22%
/
-7%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-51%
/
-24%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
298 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
326 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
Lyseng vs Avarta Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Lyseng
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Avarta
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
38%
Ball Possession
62%
11
Total Shots
18
7
Shots on Target
13
3
Corners
6
1
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
15.10.2023
Avarta
2-0
HT 0-0
Lyseng
DAN3
2-0
HT 0-0
Lyseng
DAN3
POST-MATCH
Lyseng vs Avarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Avarta beat Lyseng 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Avarta made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Lyseng vs Avarta?
Lyseng 0-2 Avarta in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lyseng vs Avarta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lyseng win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lyseng 40%, draw 29%, Avarta 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lyseng), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Lyseng)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
DAN3
More Denmark - 3rd Division
23 Mar 2024