Ethiopia Bunna 0-1 Adama City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

Ethiopia Bunna
0-1 HT 0-1
Adama City
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Etiyopya - Premier League – 2023/2024

Ethiopia Bunna vs Adama City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ethiopia Bunna v Adama City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Adama City EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
2.34/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+121% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -42%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards –

Ethiopia Bunna 0-1 Adama City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
0-1
AWAY Adama City
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Adama City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adama City nicked a narrow win over Ethiopia Bunna 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ethiopia Bunna at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 51% of the ball to Adama City's 49%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Adama City?

Ethiopia Bunna 0-1 Adama City in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Adama City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 44%, draw 27%, Adama City 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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