Hadiya Hosaena 1-2 Sidama Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
43%
2.77
Away
22%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.36
Over 2.5
30%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
31%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.9pp
43%
Draw
33%
+10.1pp
22%
Away Win
31%
-8.4pp
70%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.1pp
30%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sidama Bunna EU Bookmakers 34%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
+45% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1-2
AWAY Sidama Bunna
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Sidama Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sidama Bunna edged past Hadiya Hosaena 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 49% of the ball to Sidama Bunna's 51%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Sidama Bunna?

Hadiya Hosaena 1-2 Sidama Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Sidama Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 35%, draw 43%, Sidama Bunna 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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