Bijelo Brdo 1-3 Sibenik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
53%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.0pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Sibenik EU Bookmakers 59%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/0.23
-100% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +113%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
368 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bijelo Brdo
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sibenik
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 3-0 HT 0-0 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
01.03.2023 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 0-2 HT 0-1 Sibenik Sibenik HIRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bijelo Brdo
1-3
AWAY Sibenik
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bijelo Brdo vs Sibenik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sibenik got the better of Bijelo Brdo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sibenik as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bijelo Brdo had 48% of the ball to Sibenik's 52%, shots finished 7-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sibenik led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Bijelo Brdo and 2.50 for Sibenik.

What was the final score of Bijelo Brdo vs Sibenik?

Bijelo Brdo 1-3 Sibenik in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bijelo Brdo vs Sibenik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sibenik win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bijelo Brdo 24%, draw 24%, Sibenik 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sibenik) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sibenik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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