Solin 0-1 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.8
Over 2.5
38%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
1.73
No
66%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.6pp
34%
BTTS Yes
54%
-19.5pp
66%
BTTS No
46%
+19.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Solin EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar EU Bookmakers 38%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.51/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.60
+21% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / +119%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
319 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Solin
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Vukovar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Solin Solin 1-1 HT 0-1 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
21.10.2023 Vukovar Vukovar 2-2 HT 0-2 Solin Solin HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Solin
0-1
AWAY Vukovar
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Solin vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar nicked a narrow win over Solin 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Vukovar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Solin had 44% of the ball to Vukovar's 56%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Solin and 1.50 for Vukovar.

What was the final score of Solin vs Vukovar?

Solin 0-1 Vukovar in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Solin vs Vukovar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Solin 33%, draw 29%, Vukovar 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vukovar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vukovar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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