Istra 1961 0-2 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
49%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.69
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.5pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.2pp
49%
Away Win
64%
-14.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.8pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 69%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
0.86/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.87
-9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +6%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
223 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 83%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
12.2 Crosses 17.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rijeka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.65 xG 1.85
46% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
281 Passes 350
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 2-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
22.10.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
06.08.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 6-0 HT 3-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
06.05.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-2 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
03.03.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-2 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
29.10.2022 Rijeka Rijeka 0-1 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
0-2
AWAY Rijeka
0.37 xG 0.57
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
233 Passes 342
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka saw off Istra 1961 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 43% of the ball to Rijeka's 57%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.37 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Istra 1961 and 2.33 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Rijeka?

Istra 1961 0-2 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 21%, draw 29%, Rijeka 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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