Aktobe 1-0 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Cup, 14 Apr 2024

Aktobe
1-0 HT 1-0
Zhetysu
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Kazakistan - Cup – 2024

Aktobe vs Zhetysu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.4pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.9pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aktobe v Zhetysu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.57/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/3.00
-34% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -34%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Aktobe vs Zhetysu Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Zhetysu
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 2-2 HT 1-2 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
04.03.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
26.09.2021 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
09.05.2021 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-5 HT 1-2 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
27.06.2015 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe edged past Zhetysu 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aktobe as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Aktobe had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Aktobe and 0.80 for Zhetysu.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs Zhetysu?

Aktobe 1-0 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Cup on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 57%, draw 25%, Zhetysu 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aktobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZKK More Kazakistan - Cup
14 Apr 2024
14:00 Yelimay Semey vs Shakhter Karagandy Analysis →