Yelimay Semey 2-1 Shakhter Karagandy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Cup, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +148% / -54%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Yelimay Semey vs Shakhter Karagandy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey nicked a narrow win over Shakhter Karagandy 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Yelimay Semey as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Yelimay Semey 2-1 Shakhter Karagandy in the Kazakistan - Cup on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 45%, draw 27%, Shakhter Karagandy 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yelimay Semey) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZKK More Kazakistan - Cup
14 Apr 2024
14:00 Aktobe vs Zhetysu Analysis →