Marupe 0-1 JDFS Alberts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-1.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.5pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marupe EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY JDFS Alberts EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +109%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Marupe vs JDFS Alberts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JDFS Alberts squeezed past Marupe 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had JDFS Alberts as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Marupe vs JDFS Alberts?

Marupe 0-1 JDFS Alberts in the Latvia - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marupe vs JDFS Alberts?

Before kick-off our model rated an JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Marupe 27%, draw 22%, JDFS Alberts 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JDFS Alberts) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JDFS Alberts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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