FK Panevezys 1-2 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.54
Over 2.5
33%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.06
No
65%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
61%
+6.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
39%
-6.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-9.1pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +18%
0.60/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.60
-46% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +75%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
30.07.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-2 HT 1-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
28.05.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
08.04.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
09.11.2022 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
19.10.2022 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius edged past FK Panevezys 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Zalgiris Vilnius made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Panevezys and 0.67 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

FK Panevezys 1-2 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 29%, draw 31%, Zalgiris Vilnius 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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