Ajka 0-1 Csakvari TK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+11.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Csakvari TK EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.74/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.48
+7% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Csakvari TK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Csakvari TK Csakvari TK 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
19.02.2023 Csakvari TK Csakvari TK 1-1 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
21.08.2022 Ajka Ajka 1-0 HT 1-0 Csakvari TK Csakvari TK MAC2
22.05.2022 Csakvari TK Csakvari TK 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
05.12.2021 Ajka Ajka 1-1 HT 1-0 Csakvari TK Csakvari TK MAC2
07.02.2021 Ajka Ajka 2-2 HT 1-1 Csakvari TK Csakvari TK MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajka
0-1
AWAY Csakvari TK
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Csakvari TK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Csakvari TK nicked a narrow win over Ajka 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ajka at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Ajka had 44% of the ball to Csakvari TK's 56%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Csakvari TK led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ajka and 1.00 for Csakvari TK.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Csakvari TK?

Ajka 0-1 Csakvari TK in the Hungary - NB II on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Csakvari TK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ajka 44%, draw 26%, Csakvari TK 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ajka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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