14/04/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Gyirmot vs BVSC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
23%
Draw
26%
30%
Away Win
24%
50%
Under 2.5
56%
50%
Over 2.5
44%
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
52%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gyirmot v BVSC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gyirmot
EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY
BVSC
EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+1% /
+1%
1.48/0.95
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.97/1.20
+6%
/
+6%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-9%
/
+12%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
367 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
297 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.4
Yellow Cards
4.0
Gyirmot vs BVSC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Gyirmot
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
BVSC
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
1
1
Corners
9
3
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
08.10.2023
BVSC
0-3
HT 0-0
Gyirmot
MAC2
0-3
HT 0-0
Gyirmot
MAC2
POST-MATCH
Gyirmot vs BVSC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gyirmot edged past BVSC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Gyirmot as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Gyirmot vs BVSC?
Gyirmot 2-1 BVSC in the Hungary - NB II on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gyirmot vs BVSC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gyirmot win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gyirmot 47%, draw 23%, BVSC 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyirmot) — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Gyirmot)
✗ BTTS No
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MAC2
More Hungary - NB II
14 Apr 2024