Club Olimpia 2-1 Tacuary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-11.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
22%
+11.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tacuary EU Bookmakers 25%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -2%
1.86/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.38
+11% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Olimpia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Tacuary
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2024 Tacuary Tacuary 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
24.09.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
09.07.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-2 HT 1-1 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
24.04.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
13.02.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 4-0 HT 1-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
06.10.2022 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-0 HT 1-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Olimpia
2-1
AWAY Tacuary
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Club Olimpia vs Tacuary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Olimpia nicked a narrow win over Tacuary 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Club Olimpia had 50% of the ball to Tacuary's 50%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Olimpia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Club Olimpia and 0.33 for Tacuary.

What was the final score of Club Olimpia vs Tacuary?

Club Olimpia 2-1 Tacuary in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Olimpia vs Tacuary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Club Olimpia 42%, draw 25%, Tacuary 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Olimpia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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