General Caballero JLM 1-2 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME General Caballero JLM EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.92/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.13
-21% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME General Caballero JLM
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-2 HT 1-1 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
02.11.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
21.08.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-3 HT 0-2 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
24.04.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-0 HT 0-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
12.02.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 0-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
19.09.2022 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-0 HT 0-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
POST-MATCH General Caballero JLM vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion edged past General Caballero JLM 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Nacional Asuncion made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for General Caballero JLM and 1.33 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of General Caballero JLM vs Nacional Asuncion?

General Caballero JLM 1-2 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for General Caballero JLM vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated a General Caballero JLM win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split General Caballero JLM 40%, draw 27%, Nacional Asuncion 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (General Caballero JLM) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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