Lechia Gdansk 3-1 Nieciecza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒13:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.26
6+ Goals
12%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
-10.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.09/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.37
+18% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lechia Gdansk
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nieciecza
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.33 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
377 Passes 256
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2023 Nieciecza Nieciecza 0-0 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL1
09.04.2022 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 2-0 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
16.10.2021 Nieciecza Nieciecza 0-2 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
05.12.2018 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-3 HT 0-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POLK
04.05.2018 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 0-1 HT 0-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
27.02.2018 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 2-2 HT 1-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lechia Gdansk
3-1
AWAY Nieciecza
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lechia Gdansk vs Nieciecza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lechia Gdansk got the better of Nieciecza 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lechia Gdansk as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lechia Gdansk had 49% of the ball to Nieciecza's 51%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lechia Gdansk had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lechia Gdansk and 0.67 for Nieciecza.

What was the final score of Lechia Gdansk vs Nieciecza?

Lechia Gdansk 3-1 Nieciecza in the Poland - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lechia Gdansk vs Nieciecza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lechia Gdansk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lechia Gdansk 52%, draw 23%, Nieciecza 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lechia Gdansk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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