Zaglebie Lubin II 2-0 SKRA Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.15
6+ Goals
12%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 25% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -7%
1.38/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.88
-1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II
1W-1D-3L
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
05.04.2024 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 2-1 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
01.10.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 3-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
23.09.2023 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 0-2 HT 0-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
08.04.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
05.09.2022 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 2-1 HT 1-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin II vs SKRA Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin II beat SKRA Czestochowa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zaglebie Lubin II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, SKRA Czestochowa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Zaglebie Lubin II and 1.80 for SKRA Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin II vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Zaglebie Lubin II 2-0 SKRA Czestochowa in the Poland - 2nd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin II vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Lubin II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin II 42%, draw 24%, SKRA Czestochowa 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin II) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin II) ✗ BTTS Yes
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