SKRA Czestochowa 2-1 Zaglebie Lubin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.62
6+ Goals
12%
14.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.66/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.93
+7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 3-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
23.09.2023 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 0-2 HT 0-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
08.04.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
05.09.2022 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 2-1 HT 1-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
POST-MATCH SKRA Czestochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKRA Czestochowa edged past Zaglebie Lubin II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; SKRA Czestochowa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, SKRA Czestochowa had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for SKRA Czestochowa and 0.75 for Zaglebie Lubin II.

What was the final score of SKRA Czestochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

SKRA Czestochowa 2-1 Zaglebie Lubin II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKRA Czestochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a SKRA Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split SKRA Czestochowa 40%, draw 26%, Zaglebie Lubin II 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SKRA Czestochowa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SKRA Czestochowa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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