Olimpia Elblag 1-3 LKS Lodz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.84
6+ Goals
9%
16.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY LKS Lodz II EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.54/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.55
+3% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Elblag
0W-1D-0L
AWAY LKS Lodz II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 LKS Lodz II LKS Lodz II 1-1 HT 0-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Elblag
1-3
AWAY LKS Lodz II
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
15 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Olimpia Elblag vs LKS Lodz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LKS Lodz II got the better of Olimpia Elblag 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Olimpia Elblag at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Olimpia Elblag had 60% of the ball to LKS Lodz II's 40%, shots finished 17-12.

What was the final score of Olimpia Elblag vs LKS Lodz II?

Olimpia Elblag 1-3 LKS Lodz II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Elblag vs LKS Lodz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Elblag win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Elblag 43%, draw 27%, LKS Lodz II 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olimpia Elblag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpia Elblag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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