Kotwica Kolobrzeg 2-2 Pogon Siedlce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.32
6+ Goals
12%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.4pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 33%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +20%
1.71/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.50
+10% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
23.09.2023 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 3-3 HT 0-2 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg POL2
29.10.2022 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 0-0 HT 0-0 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg
2-2
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Pogon Siedlce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kotwica Kolobrzeg and Pogon Siedlce couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kotwica Kolobrzeg at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kotwica Kolobrzeg had 55% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 45%, shots finished 14-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kotwica Kolobrzeg and 1.50 for Pogon Siedlce.

What was the final score of Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Pogon Siedlce?

Kotwica Kolobrzeg 2-2 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 2nd Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Pogon Siedlce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kotwica Kolobrzeg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kotwica Kolobrzeg 47%, draw 22%, Pogon Siedlce 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kotwica Kolobrzeg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kotwica Kolobrzeg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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