Lodzki KS 3-2 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.36
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
10%
7.16
X/2
19%
4.46
X/X
13%
4.6
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.76
2/X
9%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lodzki KS EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 50%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
0.85/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.75
-16% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / -15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
15.0 Crosses 30.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lodzki KS
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.16 xG 1.55
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
301 Passes 353
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 3-0 HT 2-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL
28.04.2021 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 1-1 HT 1-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL1
18.11.2020 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-0 HT 0-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lodzki KS
3-2
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.71 xG 1.07
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
403 Passes 271
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lodzki KS vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lodzki KS edged past Radomiak Radom 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Radomiak Radom at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lodzki KS had 57% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 43%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 1.71 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Radomiak Radom led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lodzki KS and 1.67 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Lodzki KS vs Radomiak Radom?

Lodzki KS 3-2 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lodzki KS vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lodzki KS 26%, draw 30%, Radomiak Radom 44%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✗ Under 2.5
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