Arsenal Tula 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -26%
1.94/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.69
+32% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
4W-1D-0L
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
358 Passes 342
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
17.07.2022 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 3-2 HT 2-2 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
05.11.2017 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 1-2 HT 1-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
24.07.2017 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS
20.09.2015 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 0-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Tula
1-0
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal Tula vs SKA Khabarovsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula nicked a narrow win over SKA Khabarovsk 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal Tula as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal Tula had 48% of the ball to SKA Khabarovsk's 52%, shots finished 9-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Arsenal Tula and 0.80 for SKA Khabarovsk.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Arsenal Tula 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk in the Russia - FNL on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 51%, draw 25%, SKA Khabarovsk 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Tula), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Tula) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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