Kuban Krasnodar 1-2 KAMAZ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuban Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.42/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.64
+31% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuban Krasnodar
1W-1D-3L
AWAY KAMAZ
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
23.07.2023 KAMAZ KAMAZ 2-0 HT 1-0 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar RUS1
20.11.2022 KAMAZ KAMAZ 2-1 HT 0-1 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar RUS1
31.07.2022 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar 0-1 HT 0-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
07.05.2022 KAMAZ KAMAZ 0-0 HT 0-0 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar RUS1
17.10.2021 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar 1-0 HT 1-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuban Krasnodar
1-2
AWAY KAMAZ
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kuban Krasnodar vs KAMAZ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KAMAZ edged past Kuban Krasnodar 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; KAMAZ found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kuban Krasnodar had 51% of the ball to KAMAZ's 49%, shots finished 6-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, KAMAZ led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Kuban Krasnodar and 1.00 for KAMAZ.

What was the final score of Kuban Krasnodar vs KAMAZ?

Kuban Krasnodar 1-2 KAMAZ in the Russia - FNL on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuban Krasnodar vs KAMAZ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kuban Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kuban Krasnodar 37%, draw 31%, KAMAZ 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kuban Krasnodar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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