Şanlıurfaspor 1-1 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 32% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.02
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
10%
5.61
X/2
18%
5.24
X/X
9%
4.23
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
16%
3.66
2/X
10%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+4.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 40%
-19% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
0.94/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.54
-45% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
25.6 Crosses 17.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.34 xG 1.40
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
124 Passes 322
51% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 43
8 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
30.11.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 5-0 HT 2-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor TÜK
17.03.2019 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor S2-K
27.10.2018 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-K
18.03.2018 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-B
29.10.2017 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
1-1
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.59 xG 1.73
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
156 Passes 323
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Şanlıurfaspor vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şanlıurfaspor and Bandırmaspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bandırmaspor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Şanlıurfaspor had 37% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 63%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.59 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Şanlıurfaspor and 1.33 for Bandırmaspor.

What was the final score of Şanlıurfaspor vs Bandırmaspor?

Şanlıurfaspor 1-1 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şanlıurfaspor vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Şanlıurfaspor 31%, draw 27%, Bandırmaspor 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bandırmaspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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