Tuzlaspor 1-1 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

Tuzlaspor
1-1 HT 0-0
Göztepe
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Tuzlaspor vs Göztepe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.92
2-3 Goals
34%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 34% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.72
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
6%
15.85
X/1
13%
9.35
X/2
11%
3.89
X/X
16%
4.55
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.26
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+8.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
41%
Away Win
53%
-12.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tuzlaspor v Göztepe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuzlaspor EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 57%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.92/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.86
-19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +34%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
225 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 79%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
12.5 Crosses 15.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Tuzlaspor vs Göztepe Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuzlaspor
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Göztepe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.54 xG 1.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
328 Passes 258
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Göztepe Göztepe 2-0 HT 0-0 Tuzlaspor T1L
25.03.2023 Tuzlaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
16.10.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 0-2 HT 0-1 Tuzlaspor T1L

Tuzlaspor 1-1 Göztepe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tuzlaspor
1-1
AWAY Göztepe
0.89 xG 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
219 Passes 358
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 34
8 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tuzlaspor vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tuzlaspor and Göztepe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Göztepe at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Tuzlaspor had 42% of the ball to Göztepe's 58%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.89 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Göztepe led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tuzlaspor and 1.33 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Tuzlaspor vs Göztepe?

Tuzlaspor 1-1 Göztepe in the Turkey - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuzlaspor vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tuzlaspor 30%, draw 29%, Göztepe 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Göztepe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Göztepe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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