1461 Trabzon FK 3-0 Bucaspor 1928 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
16%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.8pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1461 Trabzon FK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 37%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +13%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.82
-100% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1461 Trabzon FK
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 1-1 HT 1-1 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK T2L-K
13.11.2022 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK 0-2 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
POST-MATCH 1461 Trabzon FK vs Bucaspor 1928
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1461 Trabzon FK ran out comfortable winners over Bucaspor 1928 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 29% — and on the day 1461 Trabzon FK made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bucaspor 1928 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for 1461 Trabzon FK and 1.50 for Bucaspor 1928.

What was the final score of 1461 Trabzon FK vs Bucaspor 1928?

1461 Trabzon FK 3-0 Bucaspor 1928 in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1461 Trabzon FK vs Bucaspor 1928?

Before kick-off our model rated a 1461 Trabzon FK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split 1461 Trabzon FK 40%, draw 32%, Bucaspor 1928 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (1461 Trabzon FK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (1461 Trabzon FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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