Afyonspor 3-0 Ankara Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.96
No
65%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
35%
BTTS Yes
47%
-11.6pp
65%
BTTS No
53%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afyonspor EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ankara Demirspor EU Bookmakers 37%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-15% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afyonspor
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Ankara Demirspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
02.12.2023 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Afyonspor Afyonspor T2L-K
18.03.2021 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Afyonspor Afyonspor S2-B
10.01.2021 Afyonspor Afyonspor 2-2 HT 2-0 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afyonspor
3-0
AWAY Ankara Demirspor
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Afyonspor vs Ankara Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afyonspor cruised past Ankara Demirspor 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Afyonspor made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (65%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Afyonspor had 40% of the ball to Ankara Demirspor's 60%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Afyonspor and 1.33 for Ankara Demirspor.

What was the final score of Afyonspor vs Ankara Demirspor?

Afyonspor 3-0 Ankara Demirspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afyonspor vs Ankara Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ankara Demirspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Afyonspor 36%, draw 26%, Ankara Demirspor 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Ankara Demirspor), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ankara Demirspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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