Palestino 1-0 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.4pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palestino EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
1.43/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.26
+19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.6 Crosses 15.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palestino
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Union La Calera
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.92 xG 0.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
310 Passes 268
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 1-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
18.03.2024 Palestino Palestino 0-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
07.08.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-3 HT 0-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
21.02.2023 Palestino Palestino 1-1 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
30.07.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-2 HT 1-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
05.03.2022 Palestino Palestino 0-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palestino
1-0
AWAY Union La Calera
1.26 xG 0.84
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 7
378 Passes 297
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Palestino vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino edged past Union La Calera 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Palestino as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Palestino had 54% of the ball to Union La Calera's 46%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.26 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Palestino and 1.17 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of Palestino vs Union La Calera?

Palestino 1-0 Union La Calera in the Chile - Premier League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palestino vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Palestino 47%, draw 28%, Union La Calera 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palestino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Palestino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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