Union La Calera 2-1 Palestino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Palestino EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.14/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.15
+26% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
16.7 Crosses 15.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Palestino
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.95 xG 1.10
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
291 Passes 296
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2024 Palestino Palestino 0-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
07.08.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-3 HT 0-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
21.02.2023 Palestino Palestino 1-1 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
30.07.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-2 HT 1-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
05.03.2022 Palestino Palestino 0-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
04.11.2021 Palestino Palestino 1-2 HT 0-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
2-1
AWAY Palestino
0.84 xG 0.67
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
160 Passes 377
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Palestino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera squeezed past Palestino 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Union La Calera found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union La Calera had 34% of the ball to Palestino's 66%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.84 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union La Calera and 1.17 for Palestino.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Palestino?

Union La Calera 2-1 Palestino in the Chile - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Palestino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 33%, draw 31%, Palestino 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Palestino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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