Cobresal 2-1 Deportes Iquique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobresal EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.66/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.45
+23% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
20.8 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobresal
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Deportes Iquique
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 1.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
284 Passes 374
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-0 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
23.11.2020 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 0-0 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
29.02.2020 Cobresal Cobresal 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
10.08.2019 Cobresal Cobresal 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
27.04.2019 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 0-1 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
17.02.2017 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 3-1 HT 1-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobresal
2-1
AWAY Deportes Iquique
2.92 xG 1.36
40% Ball Possession 60%
20 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 12
244 Passes 378
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
30 Box Touches 31
23 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cobresal vs Deportes Iquique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobresal nicked a narrow win over Deportes Iquique 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cobresal as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cobresal had 40% of the ball to Deportes Iquique's 60%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 2.92 to 1.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cobresal's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Iquique led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cobresal and 1.00 for Deportes Iquique.

What was the final score of Cobresal vs Deportes Iquique?

Cobresal 2-1 Deportes Iquique in the Chile - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobresal vs Deportes Iquique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobresal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cobresal 43%, draw 24%, Deportes Iquique 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cobresal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cobresal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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