Audax Italiano 2-1 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +25%
1.36/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.51
-8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.8 Crosses 16.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audax Italiano
1W-2D-3L
AWAY U. Catolica
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 1.59
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
211 Passes 363
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2024 U. Catolica 0-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
06.08.2023 U. Catolica 0-2 HT 0-2 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
19.02.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-2 HT 1-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
01.11.2022 U. Catolica 0-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
21.08.2022 U. Catolica 3-0 HT 2-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİLİK
17.08.2022 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 0-2 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audax Italiano
2-1
AWAY U. Catolica
1.47 xG 1.37
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
151 Passes 361
65% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Audax Italiano vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audax Italiano squeezed past U. Catolica 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Audax Italiano made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Audax Italiano had 35% of the ball to U. Catolica's 65%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.47 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Audax Italiano and 1.17 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of Audax Italiano vs U. Catolica?

Audax Italiano 2-1 U. Catolica in the Chile - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audax Italiano vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audax Italiano win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Audax Italiano 35%, draw 31%, U. Catolica 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audax Italiano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Audax Italiano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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