Arsenal Sarandi 0-1 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Apr 2025

Arsenal Sarandi
0-1 HT 0-1
Patronato
📅14/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2025

Arsenal Sarandi vs Patronato Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.6pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.5pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal Sarandi v Patronato — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
0.72/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.27
-26% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
274 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Arsenal Sarandi vs Patronato Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Sarandi
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Patronato
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.15 xG 1.35
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
261 Passes 294
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.10.2024 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 2-0 HT 0-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
26.05.2024 Patronato Patronato 0-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJPBN
09.07.2022 Patronato Patronato 0-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
10.08.2021 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 2-2 HT 2-1 Patronato Patronato ARJ
04.02.2020 Patronato Patronato 2-2 HT 0-2 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
10.04.2018 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 1-1 HT 1-0 Patronato Patronato ARJ
POST-MATCH Arsenal Sarandi vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patronato squeezed past Arsenal Sarandi 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Patronato found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal Sarandi had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arsenal Sarandi and 0.83 for Patronato.

What was the final score of Arsenal Sarandi vs Patronato?

Arsenal Sarandi 0-1 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Sarandi vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated an Patronato win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Sarandi 33%, draw 31%, Patronato 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patronato), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Patronato) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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