Arsenal Sarandi 2-0 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.36
Over 2.5
28%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.2pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.5pp
72%
Under 2.5
70%
+2.1pp
28%
Over 2.5
30%
-2.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.4pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -21%
0.53/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.08
-50% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Sarandi
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Patronato
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.15 xG 1.35
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 Passes 272
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Patronato Patronato 0-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJPBN
09.07.2022 Patronato Patronato 0-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
10.08.2021 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 2-2 HT 2-1 Patronato Patronato ARJ
04.02.2020 Patronato Patronato 2-2 HT 0-2 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
10.04.2018 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 1-1 HT 1-0 Patronato Patronato ARJ
11.03.2017 Patronato Patronato 4-2 HT 2-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
POST-MATCH Arsenal Sarandi vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Sarandi saw off Patronato 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Arsenal Sarandi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arsenal Sarandi and 1.50 for Patronato.

What was the final score of Arsenal Sarandi vs Patronato?

Arsenal Sarandi 2-0 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Sarandi vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Sarandi win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Sarandi 35%, draw 33%, Patronato 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Sarandi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Sarandi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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