San Martin San Juan 3-2 Tristan Suarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.44
Over 2.5
38%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.51
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
66%
-3.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
34%
+3.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.1pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.46/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.51
+15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin San Juan
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Tristan Suarez
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
25.05.2024 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 0-1 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
23.07.2022 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 3-0 HT 1-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
17.10.2021 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 4-0 HT 2-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
22.06.2021 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 4-1 HT 1-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin San Juan vs Tristan Suarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin San Juan squeezed past Tristan Suarez 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had San Martin San Juan as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for San Martin San Juan and 1.75 for Tristan Suarez.

What was the final score of San Martin San Juan vs Tristan Suarez?

San Martin San Juan 3-2 Tristan Suarez in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin San Juan vs Tristan Suarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin San Juan win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split San Martin San Juan 53%, draw 28%, Tristan Suarez 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin San Juan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Martin San Juan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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