Atletico Aldosivi 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.1pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.8pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +21%
1.39/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.77
+9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +47%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Aldosivi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
28.05.2024 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Aldosivi vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano nicked a narrow win over Atletico Aldosivi 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Aldosivi at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Atletico Aldosivi vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Atletico Aldosivi 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Aldosivi vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Aldosivi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atletico Aldosivi 46%, draw 32%, Defensores De Belgrano 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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