Atletico Aldosivi 0-2 Racing Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 28% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.49
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
5%
14.45
X/1
11%
7.26
X/2 EV+ ✗
24%
4.7
X/X
12%
4.74
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
14%
2.82
2/X
9%
13.65
Value flag · X/2 at 4.7 — our 24% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club EU Bookmakers 49%
-16% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -14%
1.03/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.12
-19% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +7%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 77%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.7 Crosses 18.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Aldosivi
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Racing Club
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.09 xG 2.30
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
258 Passes 411
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.06.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 5-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJ
11.05.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 5-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJ
28.07.2021 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 0-2 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
21.02.2021 Racing Club Racing Club 2-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJ
16.03.2020 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 3-4 HT 2-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJLK
06.10.2019 Racing Club Racing Club 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Aldosivi
0-2
AWAY Racing Club
0.49 xG 2.52
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
202 Passes 319
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
8 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Aldosivi vs Racing Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club saw off Atletico Aldosivi 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Racing Club as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Atletico Aldosivi had 41% of the ball to Racing Club's 59%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.49 to 2.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atletico Aldosivi and 3.33 for Racing Club.

What was the final score of Atletico Aldosivi vs Racing Club?

Atletico Aldosivi 0-2 Racing Club in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Aldosivi vs Racing Club?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Aldosivi 30%, draw 26%, Racing Club 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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