Independiente vs San Martin San Juan Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente v San Martin San Juan — Team-Based Signals
Independiente vs San Martin San Juan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Independiente
ARJ
0-4
HT 0-1
Independiente
ARJ
0-0
HT 0-0
San Martin San Juan
ARJ
1-1
HT 1-0
Independiente
ARJ
3-1
HT 2-0
San Martin San Juan
ARJ
0-0
HT 0-0
Independiente
ARJ
Independiente 2-0 San Martin San Juan — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente saw off San Martin San Juan 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Independiente had 70% of the ball to San Martin San Juan's 30%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.59 to 0.35.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Independiente and 0.50 for San Martin San Juan.
What was the final score of Independiente vs San Martin San Juan?
Independiente 2-0 San Martin San Juan in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente vs San Martin San Juan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Independiente 58%, draw 26%, San Martin San Juan 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.