Slavia Sofia 4-2 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.3pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.92/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.81
+12% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Sofia
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 3-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
24.07.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
20.06.2019 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-1 HT 1-1 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa HAZ
13.06.2018 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-4 HT 1-3 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Sofia
4-2
AWAY Botev Vratsa
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slavia Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia beat Botev Vratsa 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Slavia Sofia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slavia Sofia had 58% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 42%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Botev Vratsa led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Slavia Sofia and 2.50 for Botev Vratsa.

What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

Slavia Sofia 4-2 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 52%, draw 26%, Botev Vratsa 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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