Moghreb Tetouan vs Ittihad Tanger Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Moghreb Tetouan v Ittihad Tanger — Team-Based Signals
Moghreb Tetouan vs Ittihad Tanger Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Moghreb Tetouan
FAS
2-0
HT 2-0
Moghreb Tetouan
FAS
1-0
HT 0-0
Ittihad Tanger
FAS
1-0
HT 0-0
Ittihad Tanger
FAS
Moghreb Tetouan 2-1 Ittihad Tanger — Actual Match Statistics
Moghreb Tetouan squeezed past Ittihad Tanger 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (25% / 34% / 40%) promised a tight game; Moghreb Tetouan found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Moghreb Tetouan had 33% of the ball to Ittihad Tanger's 67%, shots finished 7-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moghreb Tetouan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Moghreb Tetouan and 0.83 for Ittihad Tanger.
What was the final score of Moghreb Tetouan vs Ittihad Tanger?
Moghreb Tetouan 2-1 Ittihad Tanger in the Morocco - League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Moghreb Tetouan vs Ittihad Tanger?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ittihad Tanger win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Moghreb Tetouan 25%, draw 34%, Ittihad Tanger 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.