Saburtalo 2-1 Gareji — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-9.6pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.3pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Gareji EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
2.00/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.50
+3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +46%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
464 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
2-1
AWAY Gareji
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Gareji
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo nicked a narrow win over Gareji 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Saburtalo had 61% of the ball to Gareji's 39%, shots finished 16-3.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Gareji?

Saburtalo 2-1 Gareji in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Gareji?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 57%, draw 23%, Gareji 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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