Telavi 0-1 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 14 Apr 2025

Telavi
0-1 HT 0-0
Gagra
📅14/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.5pp
31%
Draw
32%
-2.0pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telavi EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.61/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.12
-53% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
232 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telavi
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Gagra
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 Gagra Gagra 2-0 HT 1-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
14.09.2024 Telavi Telavi 0-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
19.05.2024 Gagra Gagra 2-0 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
03.04.2024 Telavi Telavi 1-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
08.10.2023 Gagra Gagra 4-1 HT 2-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
06.06.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-1 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telavi
0-1
AWAY Gagra
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Telavi vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra squeezed past Telavi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Gagra found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Telavi had 45% of the ball to Gagra's 55%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gagra led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Telavi and 1.67 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Telavi vs Gagra?

Telavi 0-1 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telavi vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gagra win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Telavi 30%, draw 31%, Gagra 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gagra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gagra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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