Gagra 2-0 Telavi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 19 May 2024

Gagra
2-0 HT 0-0
Telavi
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.1pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Telavi EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.41/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.55
+16% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Telavi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2024 Telavi Telavi 1-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
08.10.2023 Gagra Gagra 4-1 HT 2-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
06.06.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-1 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
30.04.2023 Gagra Gagra 1-1 HT 1-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
04.03.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
23.10.2022 Telavi Telavi 1-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
2-0
AWAY Telavi
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Telavi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra saw off Telavi 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Gagra found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gagra had 47% of the ball to Telavi's 53%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gagra and 0.67 for Telavi.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Telavi?

Gagra 2-0 Telavi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Telavi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Telavi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gagra 36%, draw 27%, Telavi 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Telavi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Telavi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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