Dinamo Batumi 2-3 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.4pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.98/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.53
+26% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Batumi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Saburtalo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
02.04.2024 Saburtalo 3-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
06.12.2023 Saburtalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GURCK
08.10.2023 Saburtalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
05.06.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 2-1 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
30.04.2023 Saburtalo 3-3 HT 0-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
03.03.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-1 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Batumi
2-3
AWAY Saburtalo
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Batumi vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Batumi 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Batumi at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Batumi had 40% of the ball to Saburtalo's 60%, shots finished 8-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dinamo Batumi and 1.50 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Dinamo Batumi vs Saburtalo?

Dinamo Batumi 2-3 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Batumi vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Batumi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Batumi 43%, draw 24%, Saburtalo 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Batumi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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