Telavi 1-0 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 3 Apr 2024

Telavi
1-0 HT 1-0
Gagra
📅03/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telavi EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.08/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.02
-28% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -35%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
450 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telavi
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gagra
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Gagra Gagra 4-1 HT 2-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
06.06.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-1 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
30.04.2023 Gagra Gagra 1-1 HT 1-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
04.03.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
23.10.2022 Telavi Telavi 1-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
21.08.2022 Gagra Gagra 1-1 HT 1-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telavi
1-0
AWAY Gagra
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Telavi vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telavi squeezed past Gagra 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Telavi as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Telavi had 41% of the ball to Gagra's 59%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gagra led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Telavi and 1.17 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Telavi vs Gagra?

Telavi 1-0 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telavi vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Telavi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Telavi 46%, draw 25%, Gagra 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Telavi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Telavi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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