Samtredia 2-0 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 3 Apr 2024

Samtredia
2-0 HT 2-0
Samgurali
📅03/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Georgia - Erovnuli Liga – 2024

Samtredia vs Samgurali Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.5pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Samtredia v Samgurali — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samtredia EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 51%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.96/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.73
-10% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +39%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
224 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

Samtredia vs Samgurali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samtredia
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Samgurali
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 2-3 HT 2-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
28.09.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 0-3 HT 0-2 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
01.06.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 0-2 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
22.04.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 2-1 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
07.11.2021 Samtredia Samtredia 1-2 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
16.09.2021 Samgurali Samgurali 4-0 HT 3-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR

Samtredia 2-0 Samgurali — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samtredia
2-0
AWAY Samgurali
33% Ball Possession 67%
3 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samtredia vs Samgurali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samtredia beat Samgurali 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Samgurali at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Samtredia had 33% of the ball to Samgurali's 67%, shots finished 3-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samgurali led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Samtredia and 2.17 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Samtredia vs Samgurali?

Samtredia 2-0 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samtredia vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated an Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Samtredia 33%, draw 24%, Samgurali 44%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Samgurali) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samgurali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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