Dinamo Tbilisi 2-2 Dila Gori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 37%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
0.83/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.57
-34% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +112%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dila Gori
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.10.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 3-1 HT 3-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
29.08.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 0-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
30.06.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GURCSK
25.04.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-2 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
25.02.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
22.10.2022 Dila Gori Dila Gori 2-3 HT 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
2-2
AWAY Dila Gori
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dila Gori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi and Dila Gori couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 49% of the ball to Dila Gori's 51%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.17 for Dila Gori.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dila Gori?

Dinamo Tbilisi 2-2 Dila Gori in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dila Gori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 40%, draw 29%, Dila Gori 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUR More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga
3 Apr 2024
14:00 Samtredia vs Samgurali Analysis →
18:00 Telavi vs Gagra Analysis →