Gagra 2-0 Telavi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 22 Nov 2024

Gagra
2-0 HT 1-0
Telavi
📅22/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Telavi EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -22%
1.38/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.48
+0% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Telavi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Telavi Telavi 0-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
19.05.2024 Gagra Gagra 2-0 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
03.04.2024 Telavi Telavi 1-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
08.10.2023 Gagra Gagra 4-1 HT 2-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
06.06.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-1 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
30.04.2023 Gagra Gagra 1-1 HT 1-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
2-0
AWAY Telavi
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Telavi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra got the better of Telavi 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Gagra made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Gagra had 46% of the ball to Telavi's 54%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gagra had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gagra and 0.50 for Telavi.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Telavi?

Gagra 2-0 Telavi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Telavi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gagra win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gagra 37%, draw 31%, Telavi 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gagra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gagra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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