Telavi 0-1 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 14 Sep 2024

Telavi
0-1 HT 0-0
Gagra
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.4
No
52%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
38%
+10.1pp
52%
BTTS No
62%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telavi EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -20%
2.08/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.84
+16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telavi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gagra
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Gagra Gagra 2-0 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
03.04.2024 Telavi Telavi 1-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
08.10.2023 Gagra Gagra 4-1 HT 2-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
06.06.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-1 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
30.04.2023 Gagra Gagra 1-1 HT 1-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
04.03.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telavi
0-1
AWAY Gagra
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Telavi vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra squeezed past Telavi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Telavi at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Telavi had 59% of the ball to Gagra's 41%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gagra led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Telavi and 1.33 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Telavi vs Gagra?

Telavi 0-1 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telavi vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Telavi win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Telavi 50%, draw 27%, Gagra 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Telavi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Telavi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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