Saburtalo 3-0 Dinamo Batumi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.6pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.66/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.27
+35% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.05.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 2-3 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
02.04.2024 Saburtalo 3-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
06.12.2023 Saburtalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GURCK
08.10.2023 Saburtalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
05.06.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 2-1 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
30.04.2023 Saburtalo 3-3 HT 0-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
3-0
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Dinamo Batumi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo cruised past Dinamo Batumi 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Saburtalo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saburtalo had 38% of the ball to Dinamo Batumi's 62%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Saburtalo and 1.17 for Dinamo Batumi.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Dinamo Batumi?

Saburtalo 3-0 Dinamo Batumi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Dinamo Batumi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 35%, draw 30%, Dinamo Batumi 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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