Atletico Bucaramanga 4-0 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.2pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.11/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.43
-4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
19.1 Crosses 12.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
352 Passes 342
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
10.11.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
4-0
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
2.75 xG 0.19
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
375 Passes 332
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga cruised past Fortaleza CEIF 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Bucaramanga as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 53% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 47%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 2.75 to 0.19.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Atletico Bucaramanga 4-0 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 47%, draw 26%, Fortaleza CEIF 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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